Heavy Rain & Strong to Severe Storms Thursday, Feb 3rd 2022 - Update

Here is an update concerning the heavy rain and strong to severe thunderstorm potential on Thursday:

Changes since previous update:

• No major changes other than a slight increase in confidence with both the potential for strong to severe storms and excessive rainfall.

Overview:

WHAT: MARGINAL RISK of Severe Weather

SLIGHT RISKof Excessive Rainfall

WHEN: Primarily mid-morning Thursday through Thursday night.

WHERE: All of SE LA and southern MS for the Marginal Risk of Severe Weather and Excessive Rainfall. Along and east of I-55 including the South shore for the Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall.

CONFIDENCE: Moderate confidence on the potential for severe weather, moderate confidence on the potential for training showers & storms leading to localized flash flooding. 

Impacts:

The main threats associated with heavy rain and strong to severe storms Thursday:

Damaging Winds:

• Locally strong, possibly damaging winds up to 60 mph which could lead to tree and powerline damage.

Hail:

• Large hail up to 1" in diameter will be possible in any severe storm.

Tornadoes:

• A few isolated tornadoes will be possible.

Rainfall:

• Showers and storms with intense rainfall rates may train over the same areas which may lead to localized flash flooding.

• The main concern is within the Slight Risk area, with forecast rainfall totals of 2 to 3 inches and locally higher amounts possible.

The graphics HERE, HERE, and HERE highlights the area with a marginal to slight risk of excessive rainfall.