Hurricane Delta Update - 10PM 10/6/20

Click HERE for an update concerning Hurricane Delta. 

Changes from previous update: 

• No significant changes from the previous advisory.

Overview:

• Hurricane Delta is forecast to move generally west-northwest across the western Caribbean and the Yucatan Peninsula later tonight into early tomorrow morning. The system is expected to enter the Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday morning and is expected to bring impacts to the northern Gulf coast from Thursday night through Saturday morning.

Confidence:

• If the current forecast holds, we remain confident that moderate to significant impacts will be experienced across portions of SE LA and S MS

• There continues to be some uncertainty in the track but more so the intensity forecast. Confidence is increasing in the track forecast. At some point, the system is expected to turn more northward and depending on when and where that occurs the expected impacts could still change significantly.

Impacts:

• Life-threatening storm surge is possible Thursday night through Saturday morning especially along east and south-facing shores near and east of the center of circulation.

• Heavy rainfall will be possible Thursday through Saturday.

• Wind impacts will greatly depend on the eventual track and intensity of Hurricane Delta but will be most likely from Friday into Saturday. The earliest reasonable time for tropical storm force winds to begin affecting coastal locations in Southeast Louisiana is Thursday night.

The attached briefing highlights the threats associated with this system.

Additional Information and Resources:

NWS New Orleans Website: www.weather.gov/neworleans

NWS New Orleans DSS Website: http://www.weather.gov/lix/embrief

NWS New Orleans Tropical Page: https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=lix

River Gauges and Forecasts: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lix

<>NWS New Orleans Facebook: www.facebook.com/NWSNewOrleans

NWS New Orleans Twitter: https://twitter.com/NWSNewOrleans

Online Severe Weather Reporting: https://www.weather.gov/lix/submit_storm_report

National Hurricane Center Website: https:///www.nhc.noaa.gov

Next Update and Contact Information:

The next update will be sent after the 4 AM advisory. If you have any questions in the interim or need additional information, please do not hesitate to contact us. We can be reached by phone at 504-522-7330 or 985-649-0429. Use extension 4 to speak with a forecaster. Alternatively, you can reach us by email by replying to this message or sending an email to sr-lix.forecasters@noaa.gov. Both methods will be delivered to the forecasters on shift at the office.

Regards,
Brigette Lim
Meteorologist
NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge