Tropical Weather Update August 16th, 2021

Click HERE & HERE for an update on Tropical Storm Fred and Tropical Depression Grace.

Changes from the previous update:

• Tropical Depression Grace forecast shifted farther south

Overview:

Tropical Storm Fred:

• Tropical Storm Fred continues to move toward the Florida panhandle at 9 mph and is expected to make landfall this afternoon or early evening.

Tropical Depression Grace:

• Tropical Depression Grace is currently near the Dominican Republic.
• Grace is expected to fluctuate in intensity, remaining fairly unorganized in the near term due to land interaction as it tracks west-northwestward across the Caribbean Sea through midweek.

Confidence:

Tropical Storm Fred:

• There is high confidence in the forecast track and near-normal confidence in the intensity forecast.

Tropical Depression Grace:

• There is normal confidence in the track and intensity forecast through the next several days.

Potential Impacts:

Tropical Storm Fred:

• Higher than normal water levels of 1 to 2 feet inundation could occur at high tide for coastal areas east of the Mississippi River today.

Tropical Depression Grace:

• This system poses no immediate threat to the northern Gulf Coast for the next 72 hours, however, this storm should at least be monitored as we approach the latter part of this week.

The attached graphics show the current forecast track and intensity forecasts for both Tropical Storm Fred and Tropical Depression Grace.

Additional Information and Resources:

NWS New Orleans Website: www.weather.gov/neworleans

NWS New Orleans DSS Website: http://www.weather.gov/lix/embrief

NWS New Orleans Tropical Page: https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=lix

River Gauges and Forecasts: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lix

NWS New Orleans Facebook: www.facebook.com/NWSNewOrleans

NWS New Orleans Twitter: https://twitter.com/NWSNewOrleans

Online Severe Weather Reporting: https://www.weather.gov/lix/submit_storm_report

National Hurricane Center Website: https:///www.nhc.noaa.gov

Next Update and Contact Information:

Our phone lines appear to be back up so you can use our normal office numbers to contact us.

The next update will be sent Tuesday morning unless changes prompt issuance.  If you have any questions in the interim or need additional information, please do not hesitate to contact us.  We can be reached by phone at 504-522-7330 or 985-649-0429.  Use extension 4 to speak with a forecaster.  Alternatively, you can reach us by email by replying to this message or sending an email to sr-lix.forecasters@noaa.gov. Both methods will be delivered to the forecasters on shift at the office.

Regards,
Erickson
Meteorologist
NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge