Tropical Storm Fred Update - August 11, 2021

Click HERE to view the latest update for Tropical Storm Fred.

Changes from the previous update:

• No major changes

Overview:

• Tropical Storm Fred is expected to continue moving west-northwest, impacting Hispaniola through early Thursday morning.
• The system is expected to continue west-northwest and brush the northern coastline of Cuba through the late week.
• Beyond late week into the upcoming weekend, the system is expected to turn more towards the northwest impacting the Florida Keys, and could then enter the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Confidence:

• There is lower than normal confidence in the track and intensity forecast, especially beyond Friday.

Potential Impacts:

• This system poses no immediate threat to the local area, and most current model guidance suggests it should remain east of the local area.

• However, given higher than normal uncertainty in the extended forecast, it should continue to be monitored.

Additional Information and Resources:

NWS New Orleans Website: www.weather.gov/neworleans

NWS New Orleans DSS Website: http://www.weather.gov/lix/embrief

NWS New Orleans Tropical Page: https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=lix

River Gauges and Forecasts: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lix

NWS New Orleans Facebook: www.facebook.com/NWSNewOrleans

NWS New Orleans Twitter: https://twitter.com/NWSNewOrleans

Online Severe Weather Reporting: https://www.weather.gov/lix/submit_storm_report

National Hurricane Center Website: https:///www.nhc.noaa.gov

Next Update and Contact Information:

We will continue to send twice-daily updates following the 4 pm and 4 am CDT advisories from NHC unless significant changes warrant an interim update or the threat to the local area increases.

If you have any questions in the interim or need additional information, please do not hesitate to contact us. We can be reached by phone at 504-522-7330 or 985-649-0429.  Use extension 4 to speak with a forecaster. Alternatively, you can reach us by email by replying to this message or sending an email to sr-lix.forecasters@noaa.gov. Both methods will be delivered to the forecasters on shift at the office.

Regards,
Gavin Phillips
Meteorologist
LIX New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
National Weather Service
62300 Airport Road
Slidell, LA 70460