Tropical Weather Outlook - June 11th 1:30 PM

Click HERE to view an update on the tropics. 

Overview:

There is a LOW (20%) chance of tropical cyclone development in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico over the next 5 days.

• The National Hurricane Center expects a trough of low pressure to form early next week in the Bay of Campeche and the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Subsequent slow development of this system is possible as it drifts northwestward to northward.

• There is high uncertainty on any specifics this far in advance of any possible tropical development, but continue to check the Tropical Weather Outlook issued by NHC every 6 hours at 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM and 7 PM CDT for updates.

Impacts:

• This system could impact the northern Gulf Coast region late next week, and although there is high uncertainty on any specific impacts this far out, the greatest concern at this point is heavy rainfall.

• Now is the time to review preparedness plans since we are only in the beginning of hurricane season.

NWS New Orleans Website: www.weather.gov/neworleans

NWS New Orleans DSS Website: http://www.weather.gov/lix/embrief

NWS New Orleans Tropical Page: https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=lix

River Gauges and Forecasts: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lix

NWS New Orleans Facebook: www.facebook.com/NWSNewOrleans

NWS New Orleans Twitter: https://twitter.com/NWSNewOrleans

Online Severe Weather Reporting: https://www.weather.gov/lix/submit_storm_report

National Hurricane Center Website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Next Update and Contact Information:

The next update will likely occur when the chance of tropical cyclone development increases to 40% or greater. If you have any questions in the interim or need additional information, please do not hesitate to contact us.  We can be reached by phone at 504-522-7330 or 985-649-0429.  Use extension 4 to speak with a forecaster.  Alternatively, you can reach us by email by replying to this message or sending an email to sr-lix.forecasters@noaa.gov. Both methods will be delivered to the forecasters on shift at the office.

Regards,
Tim Destri
Meteorologist
NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge