Tropical Weather Update - October 24, 2020 9AM

Emergency Managers of Southeast Louisiana and Southern Mississippi -

Here is an update concerning the potential for tropical cyclone development in the western Caribbean.

Changes from previous update:

• The chance of development over the next 2 days has increased.

Overview:

There is a HIGH (90%) chance of tropical cyclone development over the next 2 days.

• This system is forecast to slowly move to the northwest across the western Caribbean into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday.

• A tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or so.

• It is uncertain if this will bring any impacts to the north-central Gulf at this time.

Confidence:

• Until this system actually develops, confidence is low on both track forecast and the possibility of impacts.

Impacts:

• It is too soon to say exactly if there will be any impacts to the local area as any potential impacts are still at least 5 days out. It should continue to be monitored.

Graphic below highlights the threats associated with this system.

Additional Information and Resources:

NWS New Orleans Website: www.weather.gov/neworleans

NWS New Orleans DSS Website: http://www.weather.gov/lix/embrief

NWS New Orleans Tropical Page: https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=lix

River Gauges and Forecasts: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lix

NWS New Orleans Facebook: www.facebook.com/NWSNewOrleans

NWS New Orleans Twitter: https://twitter.com/NWSNewOrleans

Online Severe Weather Reporting: https://www.weather.gov/lix/submit_storm_report

National Hurricane Center Website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Next Update and Contact Information:

The next update will be sent around 4 PM unless there are significant changes.  If you have any questions in the interim or need additional information, please do not hesitate to contact us.  We can be reached by phone at 504-522-7330 or 985-649-0429.  Use extension 4 to speak with a forecaster.  Alternatively, you can reach us by email by replying to this message or sending an email to sr-lix.forecasters@noaa.gov. Both methods will be delivered to the forecasters on shift at the office.

Regards,

Brigette Lim

Meteorologist

NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge